The rate of
inflation is generally taken to mean the prevailing annual increase of the average level
of prices of consumer goods and services in the country. It is generally agreed that a
high or volatile inflation rate is a major economic ill. The problems that arise when
inflation is high, or volatile and unpredictable, include distortions of income
distribution, bias in investment decisions and inefficient allocation of resources. The
control of inflation is therefore an issue of primary concern for policy.
A number of different markets are involved in determining the rate
of inflation: including the market in goods and services, the labour market, the foreign
exchange market and world markets for primary commodities and for finished goods. The
process by which prices are set is somewhat different in each one. To understand fully the
nature of the inflation spiral it is necessary to understand the processes determining
price setting in each. The current price level and the going rate of inflation will both
be taken into account when prices are set: this is called the 'no money illusion'. The
resulting pressures in the economy lead t rapid rises in world prices of primary
commodities, overheating in domestic consumer markets and various imperfections in
domestic markets.
Policies for preventing high inflation include restructuring an
inflationary labour, market, preventing bottlenecks occurring, a voiding damage to
productive capacity and avoiding inflation rates significantly higher than those of
trading partners. There is some potential for offsetting temporary inflationary pressures
through manipulation of the exchange rate.
The choice of policy options for the cure of inflation is limited.
Macroeconomic policies can have a substantial impact on the rate of inflation, but only in
certain circumstances will these lead to a persisting reduction in inflation. Government
intervention in the operation of the labour market can also influence the rate of
inflation.
Penelope A. Rowlatt